The Al-Qaeda 

The current and future scene

7/24/2006

The current scene.. 

The true form by the measures of the war that is not parallel we in front of the disregard orphan hood truths about them and in front of logical deductions the deception of them takes place, from them: 

First : 

The sheikh Ben Laden and the sheikh Ayman Zawahiri and the Mollah is Omar all alive, and the bigger and important part from the Al-Qaeda Network is still sound, and the Americans aware by that and do not want that they declare it until she does not consider their campaign useless . 

And it's worth mentioning that most of the detainees in Guantanamo they or from the aid employees or from until the Palestinians live it . 

A second : 

The Americans were surprised by quantity of the ambiguities that surround the truth of Al-Qaeda and Taliban after their campaign in Afghanistan . And despite the terrific quantity to the information that got them from papers and documents and a computer and a Pakistani Afghan and Saudi cooperation then the Americans did not come to a limit now for the solution of the riddle of the way of the work of the base and the recognition of the way of their thought and their organizational composition . And the Americans now recognize by that quantity of the information at which confuse more than what benefits in giving the Arabs in Pakistan and Afghanistan who has not a relation with the Al-Qaeda or from the ones who joined the jihad after September . 

A third : 

There are a complete conviction and certain information the Americans at about a terrific hitting coming to America ( or more than a hitting ) but they do not know when and how and where . And the Americans also know that their military and security efforts and the political ones did not come to a limit now for stopping this hitting and did not come to just thread end that leads to their prevention . And therefore the declaration of this hitting became without a knowledge when and where and how he is the better achievement for Ben Laden's swearing in that America does not enjoy the security a clear imagination about the rule . 

A fourth : 

The security and legal campaign did not result in America herself and the detentions that reached thousands of Islamists about the recognition of any information with a condition or that she incriminates one of the detainees a crime of it is a relation with the Al-Qaeda except a single person I commented on it the charge is in an affected way . 

A fifth : 

The Islamic anger reached on America after the campaign against Afghanistan then the support of America of Sharon in his crimes in Palestine a terrific sum that exceeded by many what Ben Laden aspires to him from just the mobilization of the Muslims sentimentally against America . And it is noticed now between some of the environments that were reserving September accident that they wish the occurrence of its like accident and finds slow the expected hitting . 

The data of the future scene ... 

After the meditation of the truths it elevated it that the person does not find a difficulty in a consideration After the meditation of the truths it elevated it that the person does not find a difficulty in the consideration of the coming hitting to America an inevitable matter, but the important question may be more complicated from just when this hitting and how and where ¿ the question he, the Al-Qaeda Network has entered into the hot confrontation with continuous war with the Americans then will it continue on the confrontation way with the hitting to America only or he prepares the equipment for a multilateral work in more than a place from the world a beneficiary from the fall of America prestige ¿ he says some who followed up the Al-Qaeda situation before September that the Al-Qaeda and the Taliban have got ready for the fall of the Taliban before a period and arranged the measures that keep the important part from the Al-Qaeda and the Taliban a sound till that the coming hitting happens . 

And these claim the Al-Qaeda has got ready for the next hitting in America a time ago, but the timing is intended that it is delayed few after the Americans are convinced totally that they have realized the support and ended their task until the hitting effect is stronger what enables psychological and political . And these claim that the Al-Qaeda Network has arranged other works in other places and that the operations that took place in India recently may be including and that they are intended for the compulsion of the Pakistani army into the transfer of the army to India and hence it revealed Afghanistan front and leaving the Americans facing the Taliban and the Al-Qaeda again . 

The scenarios of the future scene... 

With taking these data in the consideration, the person can get the next deductions about the expected scenarios to the future concerning the battle between Ben Laden and America: 

The first scenario: 

He is a big hitting in America but he is not in it a weapon of mass destruction and no long-range monuments. And if this hitting takes place loftily Flrbma believes the prophecy of the strategic report that pointed to it before that it will lead to a big loosening in America. The reason is that the hitting will form a noisy and painful advertisement by a crushing defeat to the American campaign against ( the terrorism ) . 

This advertisement with the defeat will not be a defeat of a domineering dictatorial government as it happened in Soviet Union when an involvement in Afghanistan but the defeat of the American people of all will be the one that elected its government and blessed her campaign in Afghanistan by an absolute majority . 

This feeling will make with the defeat several consequences that the feeling of the frustration interpreted the American people at and its conviction with the inability in a protection himself . 

At that time the Americans will be distracted, a team continues that thinks of the cowboy mentality and wants that he increases the reaction an using weapons of mass destruction, and a team demands the cancellation of this policy totally and the acceptance of the review of the American foreign policy concerning the Muslims, and a team sees the security strictness even if that led to the cancellation of all civil rights . 

And probably the team who demands the revenge will defeat because the goals mobilized and did not remain a base and no Taliban that she shoots . And hopefully this disagreement and what it accompanies from a big frustration will be a seed for the disintegration of America or for the collapse of its production .

 The second scenario : 

If the hitting had more effects from just a destruction and a killing of a number of Americans, acted if the probability of the nuclear weapon was perfect or what is named the dirty bomb that spreads terrific quantity of radioactive materials on vast areas . This kind of the event leads to the hindrance of the work in a complete city, then if this accident happened in a sensitive city economically like New York or Los Angeles Flrbma the American economy collapses and millions of large city citizens become homeless . And if this displacement accompanied the frustration that we mentioned in the past and the disagreement an around what must be worked towards the hitting then an accumulation will be for an economic and social collapse and it is not excluded that a political disintegration follows it . 

The third scenario: 

If the hitting is accompanied or followed by other operations in the world against other systems and the timing is intended whether from one side the Americans universe busy with their internal crisis or from the collapse of the systems prestige because of the collapse of their master prestige. And the imagination of America is difficult that can run terrific crises and she lives under the force of a hitting from a race from hitting September or a stronger. As for the other systems then despite that they do not depend on America in their internal political security so the fall of America prestige and the readiness of the nations for the move and changes the loyalties inside the security institutions that will contribute largely in their weakening or their dropping. 

The fourth scenario : 

If big accidents result in sensitive parts from the world - whether with planning the rule or without their planning - before hitting America like the eruption of the war between Pakistan and India and acted Al Malek Fahd's death and the outbreak of a disagreement between Al Saud or like the collapse of Arafat authority in Palestine . These accidents of their alone will confuse America and will make them a paralyzed in the interaction with them then how if America was distracted it kept off them with internal hitting ¿ 

The fifth scenario :

If the Americans succeed in the prevention of the coming hitting and may find Ben Laden and Al Zawahri and the Mullah Omar . This probability will protect America from the hitting but it will not protect her from terrific consequences that she come because of the mobilization that is in the Islamic world against her. And he insists the ones who claim that they are on a knowledge of the Al-Qaeda secrets that the Al-Qaeda Network has put substitutes to the operation if have been revealed. 

The future scene .. 

The consequences of the other Europe: If another hitting happened then no the doubt that the international balances will change largely. Europe will be convinced that she cannot keep up with America forever and on her that she flirts the Islamic world until her share does not come her from the destruction. We should know that these countries draw their future according to the interests and it is not according to values and principles sacrifice from their sake. 

The Muslim communities: 

If another hitting happened then there will be not the doubt this time that it is from bin Laden Organization as compared with the doubt after 11 September . And after the congestion state and the terrific anger against America the Muslims at then this accident will represent a feeling that the historical confrontation with America has been settled in favour of the Islam and that the destruction befell in America despite that the one that besieged chased persons fight. And regardless of the legitimate and value attitude from the accident, its monuments will be a charging of a sudden terrific injection from the confidence in the Muslims souls and a new gathering of them in a polarizing work against the Muslims enemies everywhere . 

The other conflict foci: 

The occurrence of the hitting will affect the other conflict foci in the Islamic world like Chechnya and Kashmir and the Philippines by a way that contributes in the improvement of the scale in favour of the Islamic party. The most likely likely that the scene is very complicated and tangled because the data are available for the occurrence of troubles in Pakistan and Palestine and the two Holy Mosques countries are before or after an inevitable hitting in America . And it appears that the matters will be very distant after this complication about the control of America of the situation because they will live a terrific internal crisis that do not think that they can recover from them besides that they can run an external crisis) . 

I am against America and if he gave a fatwa for her * a mufti by the heart of the honorable Kaaba I am with Osama where he went his end * he as long as carrying in the ports a major general I with Osama he got an urgent support * or obtained a rank with the martyrs

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